Chelsea vs Newcastle Preview, Prediction and Betting Tips
- Date: 11/03/24
- Kick-off time: 20:00 GMT
- Venue: Stamford Bridge
Chelsea vs Newcastle Preview
Both Chelsea and Newcastle have had disappointing seasons thus far. Newcastle currently occupies the eighth position in the league table and is engaged in a fierce battle to secure European football for the next season. Despite their Champions League campaign this year, they are unlikely to repeat the feat, sitting 15 points behind the top four. Meanwhile, Chelsea finds themselves in 11th place, trailing six points behind seventh-placed West Ham with a game in hand, following a recent draw against Brentford.
Mauricio Pochettino’s side has struggled throughout the season, lacking consistency both defensively and offensively. Their defense hasn’t kept a clean sheet in the league since mid-January, which could be exploited by Newcastle’s attacking talents, particularly Alexander Isak, who leads his team with 10 goals. On the Chelsea side, Cole Palmer has been influential, recording his seventh assist last week, totaling 17 goal involvements, the most of any Blues player aged 21 or under in a single season.
In their past encounters since 2020, Chelsea and Newcastle have met eight times in the Premier League and once in the League Cup. Chelsea emerged victorious in four matches, while Newcastle won three times. Notably, Chelsea won four consecutive games, scoring eight goals without conceding.
However, recent matchups have favored Newcastle, especially the reverse fixture earlier this season, where they comfortably defeated Chelsea 4-1 at St James’ Park. Despite Raheem Sterling’s equalizer for Chelsea, Newcastle dominated the second half, scoring two quick goals to secure the win. They also faced off in the Carabao Cup, with Pochettino’s side winning on penalties after a late equalizer from Mykhailo Mudryk.
Chelsea vs Newcastle: Team News
Chelsea
Regarding team news for the Chelsea vs Newcastle clash, Chelsea will still be missing several key players. Christopher Nkunku, Romeo Lavia, and Reece James are all expected to remain sidelined for this match. However, there is some positive news as Thiago Silva and Marc Cucurella are available for selection. Additionally, Raheem Sterling is being considered as an option to bolster the starting lineup.
Newcastle
On the Newcastle side, they too have several absentees to contend with. Nick Pope, Sandro Tonali, Callum Wilson, Matt Targett, and Joelinton are all ruled out due to various injuries. Kieran Trippier, who suffered an injury scare in the previous game against Wolves, will also miss out on this fixture. This could potentially provide an opportunity for Tino Livramento to make a rare start at right-back.
Furthermore, Newcastle’s Lewis Hall is ineligible to play against his parent club, adding to their selection concerns. Miguel Almiron is a candidate to replace Jacob Murphy on the right wing, while the return of Alexander Isak, Elliot Anderson, and Joe Willock provides a boost to their squad depth.
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Chelsea vs Newcastle Predicted Lineups
Chelsea Lineup: Petrovic, Gusto, Disasi, Colwill, Chilwell; Caicedo, Fernandez; Palmer, Gallagher, Sterling; Jackson.
Newcastle Lineup: Dubravka, Livramento, Schar, Botman, Dan Burn; Guimaraes, Anderson, Willock; Barnes, Isak, Gordon.
Chelsea vs Newcastle Head-to-Head
In the head-to-head history between Chelsea and Newcastle United, Chelsea has emerged victorious in 79 matches, while Newcastle United has won 56 matches. There have been 40 draws between the two teams. Overall, they have faced each other in 175 matches. On average, both teams have scored 2.45 goals per match in direct encounters.
In the current season, Chelsea has been averaging 1.80 goals per match. When playing at home, 75.00% of their matches have seen over 1.5 total goals scored, and 45.83% have seen over 2.5 total goals scored.
Newcastle United, on the other hand, has been averaging 1.98 goals per match in the 2024 season. When playing away, 87.50% of their matches have seen over 1.5 total goals scored, and 62.50% have seen over 2.5 total goals scored.
The last 5 match results are mentioned below:
- 13 Mar 2022 Chelsea v Newcastle United 1-0 Premier League
- 12 Nov 2022 Newcastle United v Chelsea 1-0 Premier League
- 28 May 2023 Chelsea v Newcastle United 1-1 Premier League
- 25 Nov 2023 Newcastle United v Chelsea 4-1 Premier League
- 19 Dec 2023 Chelsea v Newcastle United 1-1 League Cup
Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction
Considering Chelsea’s strong home record at Stamford Bridge, where they have lost only once in 12 games, they will be confident heading into this match. However, Newcastle’s inconsistency could pose a challenge for Chelsea’s defense, especially given their ability to capitalize on defensive vulnerabilities.
With both teams likely to find the back of the net, we anticipate an entertaining and closely contested match. Therefore, our prediction is a 2-2 draw between Chelsea and Newcastle.
Chelsea vs Newcastle Betting Tips and Odds
For those looking to place bets on the Chelsea vs. Newcastle match, here are some tips:
Chelsea and Newcastle to Draw – Odds of 16/5 with William Hill: Given the potential for a closely contested match and the recent form of both teams, betting on a draw could be a valuable option.
Both Teams to Score – Odds of 4/9 with Paddy Power: With both teams possessing attacking threats and potential defensive vulnerabilities, betting on both teams to score seems like a safe bet.
Over 2.5 Goals – Odds of 9/20 with Paddy Power: Considering the attacking potential of both Chelsea and Newcastle, as well as the likelihood of both teams scoring, betting on over 2.5 goals could provide a solid betting opportunity.
Where to watch Chelsea vs Newcastle
Here’s where you can watch the Chelsea vs. Newcastle United match:
India: Hotstar and Star Sports Select will be broadcasting the match.
England: Sky Sports and BT Sport will have coverage of the game.
USA: You can watch the match on fuboTV and NBC Sports.
Also Read: Keiran Trippier Injury – When will the Newcastle full-back return to action?